Dula's Blog

The people of Ethiopia face dire economic hardships, compounded by abject poverty, limited access to technology, and ongoing food insecurity, making peace an urgent necessity. According to recent UN findings, nearly 68% of Ethiopians live in poverty and are unable to meet daily sustenance needs. Amid these significant internal challenges, Ethiopia faces the looming threat of conflict with neighboring nations, leaving little room to waste resources on  unnecessary internal conflicts. Today, the call to prioritize national unity and economic resilience over military pursuits has never been more pressing.

The ongoing war in the Amhara region is both unwinnable and unnecessary. The Fanos don’t threaten the Abiy regime if resolved peacefully. What’s needed is not force but dialogue, fair representation, and free elections, which can address long-standing grievances and give voice to all groups in a peaceful, democratic manner. True, certain groups—like the Fano if the conflict is resolved peacefully—might gain representation in parliament. Yet, they would remain in the minority and not pose a significant threat to the sitting government. However, their inclusion would strengthen Ethiopia’s democracy by ensuring that all voices have a place in the governing body. By ending hostilities and pursuing fair elections in the Amhara region, Ethiopia can avoid the destructive path of fragmentation and preserve its unity. How Civil War Starts: A must read

The Pretoria Peace Agreement ended the conflict in Tigray by giving the Tigray people a chance for local governance and electing their representatives. The same opportunity should be given to the Amhara people or region without delay and end the conflict.

If the war continues, Ethiopia risks weakening itself to vulnerability, inviting potential external threats and disintegration. The longer the conflict endures, the more the divisions among Ethiopia’s ethnic groups widen, endangering the country’s stability and sovereignty. The consequences of further fracture could devastate Ethiopia’s economy, security, and social fabric and threaten the survival of the country and millions who depend on every ounce of national resources to improve their lives.

Call to Action: Unite for Peace and Prosperity

We call on all Ethiopians and the international community to stand in solidarity against this unnecessary conflict. Demand an immediate cessation of hostilities in the Amhara region. advocate for free and fair elections that provide all ethnic groups and political factions a voice within Ethiopia’s governance structure. By supporting peaceful dialogue and democracy, we can prevent Ethiopia from being torn apart by war and instead move forward toward an era of unity and economic renewal.

It’s time to reserve the nation’s resources not for warfare but for fostering growth, reducing poverty, and building a stable, self-sustaining Ethiopia. Let Ethiopians work together to end the cycle of conflict and invest in a future that values peace and human dignity for all Ethiopians.

The article “Chocking Ethiopia with Wars and Conflicts” critiques Ethiopia’s ethnic-based governance, costly development projects, and ongoing conflict, urging a shift towards investment in human capital over superficial infrastructure and war. The article calls for the abandonment of ethnic federalism in favor of a merit-based system and for ending internal conflicts. It advocates that redirecting resources towards education, technology, and entrepreneurship could drive sustainable growth and avoid future disputes, creating a united Ethiopia grounded in shared progress rather than ethnic divisions.

 A Call to Prioritize People Over Palaces in Ethiopia

Ethiopia’s path to unity and progress is threatened amid economic struggles and persistent conflicts. An end to costly wars and ethnic federalism is needed to redirect resources toward education, technology, and local enterprise. Imagine a nation where young minds thrive in modern technology hubs, and resources fuel innovation, not war. By prioritizing peace, Ethiopia can escape the cycles of ethnic division and financial strain that have hampered progress.

A Vision for Lasting Change

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has a unique opportunity to reshape Ethiopia’s legacy by addressing the structural divides that fuel these ongoing conflicts. The urgent need for reform can no longer be ignored. Ethiopia’s future hinges on investing in a unified vision, strengthening the rule of law, and fostering an inclusive economy.

In this pivotal moment, Ethiopians should urge the Ethiopian government to:

1. End Internal Conflicts: Redirect military spending to support human development.

2. Promote National Unity: Replace ethnic federalism with a governance model focused on merit and equal opportunity.

3. Invest in People: Direct funds from non-essential construction toward technology, education, and infrastructure to improve daily life.

Ethiopia’s global potential lies in its people, not its monuments. Peace, education, and opportunity will establish a prosperous and unified Ethiopia.

Dr. Abiy is choking out Ethiopia’s oxygen with relentless war, conflicts, tribalism, and unwise economic policies. Forget the controversial deals with Somaliland; the war in the Amara region, building palaces and corridors are draining the nation’s economic lifeblood. Imagine if some of the billions spent on wars, constructing palaces, corridors, and Shegger City were redirected toward education, technology, and entrepreneurship.  Trying to duplicate Dubai in Ethiopia while waging a senseless war, maintaining a centralized economy, and a tribal structure is senseless and reckless. By the way, tribalism does not only lead to civil war, but it also stunts economic growth. How Civil War Starts: A must read

Cruel Evictions: A Humanitarian Crisis in the Making

Even more disturbing than the superficial grandeur of these projects is the heartless demolition of homes and businesses, leaving countless families homeless and destitute. In the name of progress, hundreds of thousands of Ethiopians have been forcibly removed from properties they’ve owned for decades, often without advance notice or adequate compensation. Businesses, some built over generations, have been shuttered overnight, stripping owners of their livelihoods. Families are left to fend for themselves in the cold, rain, and dark, without shelter or recourse, as their homes are demolished to make way for Shegger City or corridors and other projects. While desirable, urban spaces with roads, boulevards, and glimmering LED lights are hollow in their ability to address Ethiopia’s fundamental challenges.

The human toll of these evictions is devastating. Children, driven out of schools and onto the streets, join their parents in a bleak struggle for survival. In some horrifying cases, homeless children have fallen prey to ravaging hyenas, a grim reminder of how vulnerable these displaced communities have become. Parents weep over the loss of their homes, their businesses, and their dignity as they watch their lives crumble under the weight of bulldozers and indifference. This violent eviction, carried out without proper notice, compensation, or the slightest regard for the welfare of Ethiopian citizens, is nothing short of a gross human rights violation and heartless.

In the shadow of these developments, Ethiopia’s inflation continues to soar, largely driven by unchecked government spending, leaving average citizens struggling to meet their basic needs. Furthermore, the currency reform or building corridors will not solve Ethiopia’s deep-rooted problems fueled by ethnic division, lack of security, corruption, inept and overreaching government, and lack of rule of law.

Bricks or Brains: The True Foundation of Progress

Ethiopia’s future potential lies not in its buildings but in the capabilities of its people. A sustainable economy must be built on innovation, entrepreneurship, and the cultivation of human capital. Unfortunately, Abiy’s administration seems oblivious to building a sound economy. Instead of investing in research, technology incubators or funding startups that could drive the country forward, the government is pouring resources into building more structures. The truth is, skyscrapers alone cannot uplift a nation—what’s needed is a well-educated, innovative workforce. Imagine if the some of the billions spent on constructing palaces, corridors and Shegger city were redirected toward education, technology, and entrepreneurship. Ethiopia could harness the energy and creativity of its vast population to produce world-class scientists, entrepreneurs, and innovators. This shift in focus could create jobs, spur economic growth, and transform Ethiopia from a nation often associated with famine and inflation into a formidable global competitor.

Lessons from History: Skyscrapers Don’t Solve Crises

Consider Ethiopia’s magnificent historical monuments—Axum, Lalibela, Gonder Castle—architectural wonders that reflect the nation’s rich history. But for all their beauty, these structures have done little to address the country’s enduring economic and social struggles. In much the same way, modern-day skyscrapers and new cities will not rescue Ethiopia from its financial and social problems unless they are paired with a clear plan for economic growth, job creation, and stability.

The truth is that Ethiopia, beyond Addis Ababa, remains largely outside the federal government’s control. Ethnic violence and instability make travel and commerce between regions dangerous, while insecurity discourages tourists and investors alike. So, what’s the point of constructing grand new developments if the foundational issues—ethnic division, political instability, and lack of rule of law—remain unresolved?

Prioritizing People Over Palaces

Ethiopia’s true wealth lies not in its buildings but in its people. It’s time for the government to recognize that investing in education, technology, vocational training, and research is the key to unlocking the country’s potential. Imagine Ethiopia as a hub for AI development, with hundreds of technology centers and startups that foster entrepreneurial thinking. With a focus on improving productivity, targeting export markets, and driving innovation, Ethiopia could leap from being a nation struggling with inflation and poverty to a country that competes on the global stage.

Infrastructure is indeed important, but it cannot stand alone. Without a corresponding investment in creating jobs and security, nurturing entrepreneurs, and equipping citizens with the skills needed for a modern economy, even the most grandiose structures will eventually stand empty, mere symbols of missed opportunities, even face the possibility of being destroyed by frustrated citizens.

The Hidden Cost of War: Bleeding the Economy Dry

Beyond the misplaced priorities of façade-building, Ethiopia’s economic troubles are further exacerbated by ongoing conflicts, especially in the Amhara region. War has drained the country’s human and financial resources, diverting much-needed funds that could otherwise support productive sectors of the economy. Instead of fueling education, industry, and innovation, the government is channeling its resources into a destructive cycle of conflict. War doesn’t just take lives—it devastates infrastructure, cripples businesses, and erodes investor confidence. Human capital, which should propel the nation forward, is being lost to battlefields, while the ever-present specter of violence is driving away potential investments.

The consequences of war go beyond the battlefield. They deepen inflation, reduce productivity, and narrow the country’s growth prospects. Ethiopia’s future is being sacrificed for short-term political aims, and without addressing these conflicts, any economic recovery remains out of reach.

The Road Ahead: A Sustainable Vision for Ethiopia

Abiy Ahmed’s vision for Ethiopia could be truly transformative if it focused less on building façades and more on building the country’s human capital. By diverting resources from war, palaces and skyscrapers toward education, innovation, and entrepreneurship, Ethiopia could set itself on a path to real economic transformation. It’s not the buildings that define a nation—it’s its people’s skills, ingenuity, and determination. The sooner the government recognizes this, the sooner Ethiopia can realize its full potential.

The path forward is clear: an end to the cruel destruction of homes and businesses that have rendered millions of Ethiopians homeless and unemployed. This inhumane practice, all in the name of building cities or corridors must stop immediately. Families cannot continue to be torn from their homes, left to face the elements, while the government prioritizes superficial projects over human lives. Ethiopia must also bring an end to the senseless war in the Oromia and Amhara regions, which have drained the nation of its potential and caused untold suffering. For justice, sanity, and economic progress, it is time to prioritize the well-being of Ethiopia’s citizens and build a sound economy that serves its people.

The future of Ethiopia lies not in palaces or corridors but in peace, education, and equal opportunity. It’s time for the government to invest in what truly matters: its people. 

Ethiopia has an extremely long and extensive recorded history going back some thousands of years, however, economically remains one of the poorest. What is disturbing is even in 2018, there are millions of Ethiopians suffering from famine.

Ethiopia in its current form has existed since 1991 when Meles Zenawi through his TPLF (Tigrean Peoples Liberation Front) guerrillas overran the country and ruled until his death in 2012. He is most remembered for facilitating the separation of Eritrea, the introduction of toxic ethnic-based federalism that gave an advantage to his own tribe, and blocking access to the Internet.

On April 2nd, 2018 Dr. Abiy Ahmed Ali became prime minister, after the resignation of Hailemariam Desalegn. His election is widely seen as positive and an opportunity to unite Ethiopia and address the wrongs of the past and improve the economic conditions for the extremely poor population of about 100 million.

The election of Abiy Ahmed may have saved Ethiopia from further bloodshed and disintegration; however, his chance of transforming the economic backwardness of Ethiopia, a legacy of poor governance from yesteryears, remains immensely difficult.

In 1996, in memory of the late Congressman Mikey Leland, who died on a hunger mission in Ethiopia, the U.S. Congress allocated $12 million dollars to put a broadband Internet in all universities and high schools in Ethiopia in order jump start Ethiopia’s famine-stricken society to a technology-driven economy. In the dawn of the Internet in the 1990’s, Ethiopia had the chance to leapfrog many nations and become a leading technology juggernaut in the likes of S. Korea, China, Singapore, and others.

However, Prime Minister Meles Zenawi blocked the grant because it stipulated open access and competitive bidding for the installation of the network. He was primarily afraid of social media to mobilize the masses against his authoritarian rule. This shortsighted greed resulted in the loss of the possibility of incredible advancement and incalculable damage was done to the economy. Because of TPLF’s restrictive and monopolistic policy, Ethiopia has one of the lowest Internet penetration in the world even less than the failed state of Somalia.

In Ethiopia, many children are stunted physically and intellectually because of malnutrition. While TPLF was able to improve infrastructure, its toxic ethnic policy restricted the free flow of trade and exacerbated the economic divide and created mass misery.

To grow the economy, the current government is promoting manufacturing by inviting companies from China, Turkey, India, and others by enticing them with low wages and tax breaks. Dr. Abiy should prioritize direct foreign investment in high technology transfer jobs rather than low-wage manufacturing to provide a platform for a sustainable economic development.

The normal trajectory of moving from agriculture to manufacturing is no more an option for Ethiopia. Because of TPLF’s fear of social media and denial of access to technology, Ethiopia failed to enjoy the full benefit of the digital revolution. Given this failure, Ethiopia has no time to go through these stages and catch up with the rest of the world technologically and economically. Jumping to the Fourth Industrial Revolution will accelerate its economic and technological development, save it from future famine, ecological damage emanating from manufacturing, and massive economic disruption that arises in the phase-out of manufacturing.

Manufacturing undertaken by Chinese and other companies will not save Ethiopia from its permanent third-rated status or fill empty stomachs. Huajian is one of the most celebrated Chinese Company with over 5000 employees. According to AP “Amazing China” (May 2, 2018), Ebissa Gari, a 22-year-old employee of Huajian, earns 966 Birr ($35) a month. The average worker at Huajian factory earns $50 a month despite the fact that according to Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research, a basic living wage is about 3000 Birr or ($109) a month in Ethiopia. On the other hand, Artificial Intelligence (AI) specialists with little or no industry experience can make between $300,000 and $500,000 a year in salary and stock. “Top names can receive compensation packages that extend into the millions” according to NYT (April 19, 2018).

In order to catch up with the rest of the world, Ethiopia needs to take a leap to the fourth Industrial Revolution that focuses on robotics, AI, nanotechnology, the blockchain, biotechnology, the Internet of Things, autonomous vehicles, and 3D-printing, while not totally discounting manufacturing. The government should prioritize the introduction of the Fourth Industrial Revolution by opening up Internet access, broadband, and Research and Development in these areas.

The increased productivity, efficiency, lower operating costs and high wages are a product of access to technology. The Heritage Foundation, recently reported that economic growth had not been enjoyed evenly by all Ethiopians and it argued that more economic freedom is needed to grow the economy and to reduce civil strife.

Ethiopia is a very poor country by any standard and sits at the bottom of the ladder in all barometers. Many articles have been written with glowing statistics about Ethiopia’s fast-growing economy around 10%. In 1994, Ethiopia’s GDP was only $6.93 Billion; however, as of 2015, Ethiopia GDP stood at $72.4 Billion, a ten-fold increase according to TPLF data. This means GDP should have doubled every two years in the last two decades, which is unprecedented and improbable. Still, GDP of $72.4 Billion for a country of 100 million is not very impressive compared to Apple Inc.’s $72.6 billion income earned before taxes in 2015.

Given the state of the economy and technology, Ethiopia is at the pre-industrial stage where Britain was in the 1840’s. Unless Ethiopia skips some steps, it will need hundreds (100) of years to catch up. Of course, this assumes the rest of the world will stand still and wait for Ethiopia. For example, at a reasonable growth rate of 5%, Ethiopia will need 177 years to catch up with the U.S. growing at an average of 2.5% holding everything constant. At a 10% rate, it will take 60.5 years. The calculation is derived using a per capita of $50,000 for the U.S and $700 for Ethiopia.

Technology has the potential to be a tremendous tool in advancing the well-being of mankind, by improving quality of life and lifting standard of living. Access to technology allows us to work from anywhere and improves productivity. The progress of industrial revolution from the steam engine, electric power, and digital and information technology is the foundation for the fourth industrial revolution.

Artificial intelligence will be pervasive based on autonomous products from cars to robots. In the next two decades over 80% of the jobs will be AI and IT driven. AI will increasingly take over mundane tasks to the most sophisticated including fabrication, surgery and ground and space warfare.

According to Global Information Technology 2016, Ethiopia is 120th out of 139 countries in the Network Readiness Index (NRI) which measures access to latest technologies to individuals, businesses, and government, ease of starting a business, the efficiency of the legal system, infrastructure, capacity for innovation and more. Ethiopia’s ranking could have been much better had it not been for TPLF’s fear of technology and lack of interest in advancing Ethiopia’s technological and digital capability.

Sophia the robot and Dr. Abiy’s meetup is a promising sign. Dr. Abiy’s willingness to visit Sophia is an indication of his appreciation of the importance of technology, especially AI that encompasses autonomous or self-driving cars, nanotechnology, digital fabrication, the blockchain, biotechnology and more. In addition, IT will become more accessible to a larger part of the population and cheaper like the rest of the world if Dr. Abiy’s privatization plan proceeds with speed. Sophie visiting Addis: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gp4SnCVFYl0

The technology revolution is taking place at a breakneck speed lead by Artificial intelligence, Internet of things, the cloud, and 3D-printing. Ethiopians need to demand unfettered access to technology and the Internet as a right for their survival and to avoid future famines.

Dr. Abiy needs to leapfrog Ethiopia to the fourth Industrial Revolution, stop Internet censorship, and unleash innovation to create a better future for Ethiopia. If he does not leverage the technology revolution, grow the economy with open competition, transparency, with respect to property rights, unfettered access to technology and the Internet, he will leave Ethiopia with a distressed economy and with more hungry and angry people.

Leveraging technology underpinning the Fourth Industrial Revolution will create a strong and sustainable economic foundation. The people who generate the wealth (the next Apple, Google, etc.), the carpenters, the risk takers and inventors should be marveled and appreciated much more than others. After all, it will be the efforts of all hard working and creative Ethiopians with a strong work ethics that will propel Ethiopia to be an economic and technological juggernaut.